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Red50
27217.4
48417.5
180722.5
Blue54
51138.5
164019.4
121821.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67432060801005054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.1
23.122.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End6.2
red by 1.3
21.20.8
17.118.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End9.2
Second
484
#17
17.51.2
18.517.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End1.8
blue by 2.0
19.40.8
18.819.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End8.7
Third
272
#20
17.41.1
17.916.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.0
End5.5
red by 9.0
5113
#25
8.50.8
7.88.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned