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Red36
31640.3
17129.0
99959.7
Blue64
99949.7
32115.8
167635.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606401001502002503664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
Unranked
40.30.0
40.340.3
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End12.1
red by 5.2
1676
Unranked
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto7.4
Teleop16.3
End11.5
Second
9995
Unranked
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 6.1
321
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
1712
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End4.4
blue by 0.8
9994
Unranked
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo odds52%Cargo odds
Hangar
59%Hangar odds47%Hangar odds