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Red100
27224.7
164034.0
253938.7
Blue28
811714.6
363721.2
260726.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116005010015020010028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
Unranked
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto8.7
Teleop19.9
End10.1
red by 11.9
2607
Unranked
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End3.8
Second
1640
Unranked
34.00.0
34.034.0
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End6.0
red by 12.8
3637
Unranked
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End8.8
Third
272
Unranked
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
red by 10.1
8117
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo odds29%Cargo odds
Hangar
89%Hangar odds63%Hangar odds