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Red0
491147.3
291059.6
321827.8
Blue94
299038.5
95536.4
36032.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153113050100200094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#1DQ
59.60.1
60.760.6
Auto14.8
Teleop32.8
End11.9
red by 21.1
2990
#28
38.50.8
39.538.7
Auto8.9
Teleop17.0
End12.5
Second
4911
#6DQ
47.30.1
48.548.4
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
red by 10.9
955
#10
36.40.8
37.536.7
Auto9.7
Teleop21.0
End5.7
Third
3218
#25DQ
27.80.1
29.028.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End11.9
blue by 5.0
360
#26
32.80.8
33.933.0
Auto11.4
Teleop19.5
End1.9