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Red126
491147.3
291059.6
321827.8
Blue97
299038.5
95536.4
36032.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531105010020012697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.3
60.660.3
Auto14.8
Teleop32.8
End11.9
red by 21.1
2990
#28
38.50.3
38.738.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.0
End12.5
Second
47.30.3
48.448.1
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
red by 10.9
955
#10
36.40.3
36.736.4
Auto9.7
Teleop21.0
End5.7
Third
3218
#25
27.80.3
28.828.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End11.9
blue by 5.0
360
#26
32.80.3
33.032.8
Auto11.4
Teleop19.5
End1.9