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Red123
582736.1
214741.2
255736.6
Blue88
408937.9
159527.9
366329.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125975015020012388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.1
41.041.2
Auto8.3
Teleop25.1
End7.9
red by 3.3
4089
#22
37.90.1
37.637.4
Auto12.9
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Second
2557
#18
36.60.1
36.436.5
Auto11.6
Teleop17.2
End7.7
red by 7.1
3663
#24
29.50.1
29.229.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End7.7
Third
5827
#29
36.10.1
35.936.1
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.2
red by 8.2
27.90.1
27.627.5
Auto4.7
Teleop17.5
End5.7