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Red138
204647.2
297634.7
48824.7
Blue106
363633.3
293036.8
367427.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171036080140160180138106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#11
47.20.6
47.648.2
Auto13.6
Teleop25.4
End8.2
red by 10.4
36.80.2
37.237.4
Auto12.3
Teleop16.3
End8.2
Second
34.70.6
35.035.6
Auto10.6
Teleop17.4
End6.7
red by 1.4
3636
#32
33.30.2
33.733.8
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End7.5
Third
488
#34
24.70.6
25.025.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End12.3
blue by 2.4
3674
#12
27.10.2
27.427.6
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End7.1