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Red80
321827.8
582736.1
36032.8
Blue120
214741.2
371126.1
703436.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102101809011012013080120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#29
36.11.3
29.228.0
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.2
blue by 5.1
41.21.4
37.538.8
Auto8.3
Teleop25.1
End7.9
Second
360
#26
32.81.3
32.831.5
Auto11.4
Teleop19.5
End1.9
blue by 3.6
7034
#19
36.41.4
35.937.2
Auto10.2
Teleop17.0
End9.2
Third
3218
#25
27.81.3
33.031.7
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End11.9
red by 1.7
3711
#21
26.11.4
22.323.7
Auto8.2
Teleop5.6
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned77%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned