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Red58
412523.8
292822.7
378619.0
Blue45
683123.5
404318.3
85327.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59593040507080905845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#38
23.80.2
17.918.1
Auto6.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
red by 0.3
6831
#35
23.50.7
29.028.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Second
2928
#40
22.70.2
15.816.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End10.4
red by 4.4
4043
#48
18.30.7
22.021.3
Auto6.7
Teleop6.4
End5.2
Third
3786
#44
19.00.2
21.321.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.5
End1.7
red by 11.5
8532
#50
7.40.7
4.94.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed50%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed