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Red112
204647.2
281137.0
48824.7
Blue131
159527.9
291059.6
366329.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131256080100140160180200112131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#11
47.20.3
50.851.1
Auto13.6
Teleop25.4
End8.2
blue by 12.3
59.60.5
62.062.5
Auto14.8
Teleop32.8
End11.9
Second
2811
#15
37.00.3
29.429.7
Auto11.2
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 7.5
3663
#24
29.50.5
28.529.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End7.7
Third
488
#34
24.70.3
27.327.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End12.3
blue by 3.3
27.90.5
25.225.7
Auto4.7
Teleop17.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned