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Red78
378619.0
404318.3
214741.2
Blue110
371126.1
293036.8
154031.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869420406012014016018078110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.8
38.838.1
Auto8.3
Teleop25.1
End7.9
red by 4.4
36.81.0
35.136.1
Auto12.3
Teleop16.3
End8.2
Second
3786
#44
19.00.8
21.520.7
Auto6.8
Teleop10.5
End1.7
blue by 12.1
1540
#30
31.11.0
28.329.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End7.9
Third
4043
#48
18.30.8
21.320.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.4
End5.2
blue by 7.8
3711
#21
26.11.0
23.724.7
Auto8.2
Teleop5.6
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned