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Red86
297634.7
491147.3
824813.1
Blue71
582736.1
5689.6
135917.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100500204060801201401608671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.1
40.039.9
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
red by 11.3
5827
#29
36.11.2
28.029.1
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.2
Second
34.70.1
33.733.7
Auto10.6
Teleop17.4
End6.7
red by 17.4
1359
#41
17.31.2
15.516.7
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Third
8248
#49
13.10.1
13.613.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End2.3
red by 3.5
568
#47
9.61.2
9.911.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed