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Red58
95724.7
214741.2
142531.5
Blue96
297634.7
48824.7
408937.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881114060801001201401601805896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.22.1
38.136.0
Auto8.3
Teleop25.1
End7.9
red by 3.3
4089
#22
37.90.4
40.239.8
Auto12.9
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Second
1425
#31
31.52.1
26.724.6
Auto12.1
Teleop12.3
End7.1
blue by 3.1
34.70.4
33.733.3
Auto10.6
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Third
957
#14
24.72.1
20.618.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End5.8
Level
488
#34
24.70.4
27.627.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed89%Hangar oddsEarned