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Red70
135917.3
491147.3
404318.3
Blue111
703436.4
241217.7
95536.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8094406010012014070111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.31.3
39.938.6
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
red by 10.9
955
#10
36.41.4
35.636.9
Auto9.7
Teleop21.0
End5.7
Second
4043
#48
18.31.3
20.519.2
Auto6.7
Teleop6.4
End5.2
blue by 18.1
7034
#19
36.41.4
35.036.3
Auto10.2
Teleop17.0
End9.2
Third
1359
#41
17.31.3
16.715.4
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End2.9
blue by 0.4
2412
#45
17.71.4
16.217.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsEarned