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Red107
371126.1
451225.7
363633.3
Blue88
412523.8
252133.1
255736.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8490406010012014010788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#32
33.31.5
31.833.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End7.5
blue by 3.3
2557
#18
36.60.0
34.234.2
Auto11.6
Teleop17.2
End7.7
Second
3711
#21
26.11.5
24.726.2
Auto8.2
Teleop5.6
End12.3
blue by 7.0
2521
#16
33.10.0
31.431.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End10.8
Third
4512
#13
25.71.5
23.525.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.4
End4.5
red by 1.9
4125
#38
23.80.0
18.218.3
Auto6.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsEarned52%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned