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Red97
321827.8
49230.4
413117.1
Blue64
263511.8
451328.7
683123.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826420401001209764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#17
30.41.2
30.431.7
Auto7.6
Teleop16.0
End6.9
red by 1.8
4513
#37
28.70.4
23.523.0
Auto8.4
Teleop13.3
End7.0
Second
3218
#25
27.81.2
31.132.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End11.9
red by 4.3
6831
#35
23.50.4
26.626.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Third
4131
#33
17.11.2
12.914.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
red by 5.3
2635
#46
11.80.4
12.411.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsMissed