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Red107
154031.1
582736.1
451225.7
Blue121
95724.7
491147.3
448839.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86117406080100140160107121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#29
36.11.2
28.529.7
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.2
blue by 11.3
47.31.0
40.841.9
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
Second
1540
#30
31.11.2
30.932.1
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End7.9
blue by 8.8
39.81.0
42.843.8
Auto12.0
Teleop21.0
End6.8
Third
4512
#13
25.71.2
25.526.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.4
End4.5
red by 1.0
957
#14
24.71.0
21.922.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned