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Red114
413117.1
378619.0
291059.6
Blue50
85327.4
491524.4
299038.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107702040608010012014011450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.61.2
59.861.0
Auto14.8
Teleop32.8
End11.9
red by 21.1
2990
#28
38.51.4
40.338.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.0
End12.5
Second
3786
#44
19.01.2
21.422.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.5
End1.7
blue by 5.5
4915
#42
24.41.4
25.824.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Third
4131
#33
17.11.2
14.515.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
red by 9.7
8532
#50
7.41.4
4.63.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed