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Red60
408937.9
85327.4
378619.0
Blue120
448839.8
36032.8
159527.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810402040608012014016060120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#22
37.90.6
41.340.7
Auto12.9
Teleop19.7
End5.2
blue by 2.0
39.81.8
38.840.6
Auto12.0
Teleop21.0
End6.8
Second
3786
#44
19.00.6
21.921.3
Auto6.8
Teleop10.5
End1.7
blue by 13.8
360
#26
32.81.8
31.032.8
Auto11.4
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Third
8532
#50
7.40.6
5.54.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 20.5
27.91.8
23.525.2
Auto4.7
Teleop17.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsMissed93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned