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Red89
95536.4
252228.0
635026.7
Blue79
241217.7
413117.1
204647.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778240601001208979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
36.40.5
31.532.1
Auto9.7
Teleop21.0
End5.7
blue by 10.8
2046
#11
47.20.2
50.650.8
Auto13.6
Teleop25.4
End8.2
Second
2522
#23
28.00.5
24.725.2
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End8.1
red by 10.3
2412
#45
17.70.2
15.916.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Third
6350
#20
26.70.5
16.717.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.3
End11.1
red by 9.7
4131
#33
17.10.2
9.910.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned