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Red129
299038.5
142531.5
252133.1
Blue130
36032.8
491147.3
635026.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051069095100110115120125130129130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#28
38.51.5
38.940.4
Auto8.9
Teleop17.0
End12.5
blue by 8.9
47.32.0
41.943.9
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
Second
2521
#16
33.11.5
32.934.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End10.8
red by 0.3
360
#26
32.82.0
35.337.3
Auto11.4
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Third
1425
#31
31.51.5
26.928.4
Auto12.1
Teleop12.3
End7.1
red by 4.8
6350
#20
26.72.0
22.224.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.3
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned