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Red64
189927.9
85327.4
154031.1
Blue90
321827.8
255736.6
451225.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621052040801201401606490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#30
31.10.0
32.132.2
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End7.9
blue by 5.5
2557
#18
36.60.4
34.734.3
Auto11.6
Teleop17.2
End7.7
Second
1899
#36
27.90.0
28.028.0
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End4.3
red by 0.1
3218
#25
27.80.4
31.330.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End11.9
Third
8532
#50
7.40.0
3.23.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 18.3
4512
#13
25.70.4
26.726.3
Auto8.8
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned