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Red99
5689.6
95724.7
204647.2
Blue92
142531.5
582736.1
683123.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84940501502009992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#11
47.21.0
45.846.8
Auto13.6
Teleop25.4
End8.2
red by 11.1
5827
#29
36.10.3
34.234.5
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.2
Second
957
#14
24.71.0
22.323.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End5.8
blue by 6.9
1425
#31
31.50.3
29.529.9
Auto12.1
Teleop12.3
End7.1
Third
568
#47
9.61.0
11.812.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End4.5
blue by 13.9
6831
#35
23.50.3
23.423.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned