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Red93
95536.4
252133.1
448839.8
Blue164
291059.6
703436.4
281137.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116144608010016018020022093164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.3
42.140.8
Auto12.0
Teleop21.0
End6.8
blue by 19.7
59.62.1
61.063.1
Auto14.8
Teleop32.8
End11.9
Second
955
#10
36.41.3
37.736.4
Auto9.7
Teleop21.0
End5.7
blue by 0.5
2811
#15
37.02.1
35.737.8
Auto11.2
Teleop20.2
End5.6
Third
2521
#16
33.11.3
33.131.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End10.8
blue by 3.3
7034
#19
36.42.1
35.237.4
Auto10.2
Teleop17.0
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned