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Red95
95536.4
299038.5
683123.5
Blue102
154031.1
408937.9
592021.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10799608012014095102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#28
38.50.3
39.539.2
Auto8.9
Teleop17.0
End12.5
red by 0.6
4089
#22
37.90.3
40.740.4
Auto12.9
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Second
955
#10
36.40.3
36.436.1
Auto9.7
Teleop21.0
End5.7
red by 5.4
1540
#30
31.10.3
31.931.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End7.9
Third
6831
#35
23.50.3
23.723.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End5.2
red by 2.4
5920
#43
21.10.3
21.621.4
Auto9.1
Teleop7.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsMissed