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Red80
5689.6
36032.8
363633.3
Blue76
491524.4
371126.1
241217.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9166204060801001201408076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#32
33.30.4
34.434.0
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End7.5
red by 7.2
3711
#21
26.10.4
24.925.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.6
End12.3
Second
360
#26
32.80.4
34.734.3
Auto11.4
Teleop19.5
End1.9
red by 8.4
4915
#42
24.40.4
23.924.3
Auto7.0
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Third
568
#47
9.60.4
12.812.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End4.5
blue by 8.1
2412
#45
17.70.4
16.617.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned