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Red20
55705.0
355022.3
552810.2
Blue33
33798.3
686910.6
543914.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41291020506070802033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.6
21.820.2
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End5.1
red by 8.0
14.30.0
13.013.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End4.9
Second
5528
#13
10.21.6
8.56.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.4
blue by 0.4
10.60.0
9.69.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End4.4
Third
5570
#15
5.01.6
6.75.1
Auto3.1
Teleop0.7
End1.2
blue by 3.2
8.30.0
6.56.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed