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Red41
355022.3
54438.7
66229.0
Blue58
398622.7
770011.5
543914.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384902060804158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.3
20.220.5
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End5.1
blue by 0.4
22.71.3
20.221.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End8.0
Second
6622
#12
9.00.3
8.99.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.3
blue by 5.4
14.31.2
13.014.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End4.9
Third
5443
#14
8.70.4
8.18.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End1.4
blue by 2.8
11.51.3
11.612.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsEarned