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Red68
399026.4
398622.7
66229.0
Blue19
686910.6
770011.5
33868.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69290204060801001206819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.2
26.927.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End5.9
red by 14.9
11.50.4
11.911.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End4.9
Second
22.70.2
23.323.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End8.0
red by 12.1
10.60.4
11.010.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End4.4
Third
6622
#12
9.00.2
9.59.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.3
red by 0.1
3386
#10
8.80.4
9.28.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End4.5