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Red64
552810.2
355022.3
495211.7
Blue48
543914.3
760518.0
54438.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424220304050606448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.5
20.521.0
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End5.1
red by 4.3
18.00.2
17.818.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End7.8
Second
11.70.5
9.910.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End3.9
blue by 2.6
14.30.2
14.114.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End4.9
Third
5528
#13
10.20.5
8.48.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.4
red by 1.5
5443
#14
8.70.2
8.58.7
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End1.4