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Red37
813211.5
262614.5
692911.8
Blue10
81526.8
544010.4
82244.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33240102030405060703710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.50.3
12.913.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End8.4
red by 4.1
10.41.6
9.07.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.3
End4.2
Second
11.80.3
10.110.4
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End7.2
red by 4.9
8152
#13
6.81.6
8.56.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End2.9
Third
8132
#10
11.50.3
7.27.5
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End3.5
red by 6.8
8224
#15
4.61.6
6.75.1
Auto2.2
Teleop0.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed