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Red40
586516.4
813211.5
336014.1
Blue57
68729.1
35339.0
399030.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29510204060801004057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.41.1
11.812.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.5
End5.9
blue by 13.8
30.20.8
27.228.0
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End6.0
Second
3360
#11
14.11.1
10.912.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End4.7
red by 5.0
6872
#14
9.11.4
7.48.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.5
End4.5
Third
8132
#10
11.51.1
7.58.6
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End3.5
red by 2.4
9.01.4
10.211.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsEarned