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Red49
495514.6
81526.8
760518.9
Blue18
45944.2
398514.6
552811.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382702060804918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.91.0
17.918.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End8.1
red by 4.3
14.61.0
9.68.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End4.5
Second
14.61.6
9.711.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End4.9
red by 2.9
5528
#12
11.70.6
9.79.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End1.2
Third
8152
#13
6.81.6
6.98.5
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End2.9
red by 2.6
4594
#16
4.21.0
7.36.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed