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Red40
544010.4
262614.5
586516.4
Blue47
552811.7
399030.2
495514.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33550204060801004047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.7
12.913.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.5
End5.9
blue by 13.8
30.20.1
28.027.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End6.0
Second
14.50.7
13.213.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End8.4
blue by 0.1
14.60.2
11.311.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End4.9
Third
10.40.7
7.48.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.3
End4.2
blue by 1.3
5528
#12
11.70.1
9.19.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed