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Red65
399033.7
355024.2
74716.1
Blue20
49570.4
338611.6
561813.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71260204060801001206520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.3
33.333.6
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End6.9
red by 20.4
5618
#11
13.31.1
15.914.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Second
24.20.3
22.022.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End4.9
red by 12.6
11.60.7
10.910.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Third
7471
#15
6.10.5
5.56.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End1.1
red by 5.7
4957
#16
0.41.1
3.32.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop-0.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed