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Red43
31176.4
543913.5
399033.7
Blue28
399616.9
39758.3
806710.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663702060801004328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.0
33.632.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End6.9
red by 16.8
16.91.1
14.913.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.0
End5.0
Second
5439
#10
13.51.0
14.613.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End3.3
red by 2.6
10.91.1
13.212.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End5.1
Third
3117
#12
6.41.7
10.18.4
Auto0.6
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 2.0
3975
#14
8.31.1
10.19.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsMissed