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Red40
336014.7
35449.1
543913.5
Blue41
398624.8
39758.3
74716.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35400102030506070804041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.70.5
11.912.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End6.4
blue by 10.1
24.80.3
22.222.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End8.0
Second
5439
#10
13.50.4
13.113.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End3.3
red by 5.2
3975
#14
8.30.5
8.79.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End2.8
Third
3544
#13
9.10.7
8.89.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End3.6
red by 3.0
7471
#15
6.10.5
5.86.2
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsMissed