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Qual 1072022 Roebling Division
Red124
83641.8
477513.6
632846.5
Blue107
286917.4
353944.3
402044.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97117050150200250124107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#22
46.51.5
43.3→44.8
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.9
red by 2.1
4020
#44
44.40.0
45.6→45.5
Auto13.0
Teleop20.6
End10.8
Second
836
#23
41.81.5
39.3→40.8
Auto14.4
Teleop18.9
End8.5
blue by 2.4
3539
#31
44.30.0
44.6→44.6
Auto11.0
Teleop23.6
End9.7
Third
4775
#62
13.61.5
11.2→12.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 3.8
2869
#55
17.40.0
17.4→17.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned