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Red102
741920.2
448840.6
479536.6
Blue118
448142.5
413033.2
193933.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106112050150200250102118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#24
40.60.2
42.542.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.2
End6.9
blue by 1.9
4481
#10
42.50.6
40.741.3
Auto11.4
Teleop24.7
End6.4
Second
4795
#51
36.60.2
38.738.5
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End5.6
red by 3.4
4130
#28
33.20.6
32.633.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.0
End10.7
Third
7419
#71
20.20.2
19.519.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End7.7
blue by 12.9
1939
#16
33.10.6
31.331.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned