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Red104
402044.4
253126.1
581339.1
Blue96
886110.9
740750.3
121830.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1239405015020010496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#44
44.40.8
45.544.7
Auto13.0
Teleop20.6
End10.8
blue by 5.8
7407
#25
50.30.3
51.151.3
Auto14.5
Teleop23.2
End12.5
Second
5813
#13
39.10.8
39.939.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.3
End11.8
red by 8.4
1218
#20
30.60.3
30.330.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End11.0
Third
26.10.8
26.725.9
Auto7.8
Teleop6.8
End11.4
red by 15.2
8861
#63
10.90.3
10.610.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned