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Red102
479536.6
426536.8
436242.1
Blue113
582739.6
151125.5
83641.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410850150200102113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#37
42.11.9
45.143.2
Auto13.2
Teleop18.8
End10.1
red by 0.3
836
#23
41.80.6
40.841.4
Auto14.4
Teleop18.9
End8.5
Second
4265
#64
36.81.9
38.736.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End2.0
blue by 2.7
5827
#50
39.60.6
39.039.6
Auto11.0
Teleop22.7
End5.8
Third
4795
#51
36.61.9
38.536.6
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End5.6
red by 11.2
1511
#66
25.50.6
24.925.5
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned