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Red112
477513.6
741920.2
680048.6
Blue129
414339.2
589551.1
247138.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79147050100200250112129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#29
48.60.9
50.651.5
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End8.8
blue by 2.6
5895
#14
51.10.0
51.351.3
Auto13.4
Teleop30.1
End7.6
Second
7419
#71
20.20.9
19.320.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End7.7
blue by 18.9
39.20.0
38.738.7
Auto8.3
Teleop18.7
End12.2
Third
4775
#62
13.60.9
12.713.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 24.9
2471
#47
38.50.0
39.439.3
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned