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Red158
745742.3
193933.1
482936.8
Blue98
607828.5
885312.5
170139.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1227405010015020015898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#36
42.31.2
41.142.3
Auto11.4
Teleop20.5
End10.5
red by 3.1
1701
#43
39.21.5
37.739.2
Auto9.9
Teleop21.8
End7.5
Second
4829
#40
36.81.2
35.636.8
Auto9.3
Teleop17.2
End10.3
red by 8.3
6078
#65
28.51.5
27.028.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End12.5
Third
1939
#16
33.11.2
31.933.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End11.1
red by 20.6
8853
#60
12.51.5
11.012.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned