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Red101
402044.4
337440.4
884011.0
Blue128
10734.0
607828.5
234129.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90980200300400101128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#44
44.41.0
43.044.0
Auto13.0
Teleop20.6
End10.8
red by 10.5
107
#19
34.02.0
34.836.8
Auto12.1
Teleop11.7
End10.3
Second
3374
#18
40.41.0
36.637.6
Auto10.6
Teleop18.2
End11.6
red by 11.5
2341
#59
29.02.0
27.729.6
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End9.5
Third
8840
#49
11.01.0
6.37.3
Auto5.2
Teleop2.4
End3.4
blue by 17.5
6078
#65
28.52.0
28.230.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned99%Hangar oddsEarned