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Red90
748515.7
247823.0
740750.3
Blue81
190221.2
146824.7
741920.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96710501502009081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
50.30.2
49.149.3
Auto14.5
Teleop23.2
End12.5
red by 25.5
1468
#52
24.70.8
32.933.7
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End4.0
Second
2478
#68
23.00.2
23.523.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End5.4
red by 1.7
1902
#48
21.20.8
15.115.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End6.3
Third
7485
#69
15.70.2
14.014.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End8.0
blue by 4.5
7419
#71
20.20.8
21.522.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsEarned