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Red107
479536.6
362040.6
346737.5
Blue118
11517.0
414339.2
34040.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1338950100150200107118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#21
40.61.1
39.238.1
Auto9.3
Teleop20.5
End10.7
red by 0.1
340
#6
40.51.7
35.837.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.2
End10.6
Second
3467
#17
37.51.1
39.238.1
Auto6.4
Teleop17.7
End13.3
blue by 1.7
39.21.7
37.539.1
Auto8.3
Teleop18.7
End12.2
Third
4795
#51
36.61.1
40.539.4
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End5.6
red by 19.6
115
#67
17.01.7
15.717.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsEarned