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Red24
401316.2
582739.6
885312.5
Blue84
493019.7
871714.3
353944.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588301001502002484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#50
39.62.3
36.734.4
Auto11.0
Teleop22.7
End5.8
blue by 4.7
3539
#31
44.30.3
45.345.6
Auto11.0
Teleop23.6
End9.7
Second
4013
#72
16.22.3
11.79.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 3.4
4930
#74
19.70.3
19.920.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
Third
8853
#60
12.52.3
9.57.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End4.3
blue by 1.8
8717
#73
14.30.3
9.710.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsMissed88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned