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Qual 182022 Roebling Division
Red59
192322.3
886110.9
201632.9
Blue135
589551.1
319736.3
129311.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629405015059135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#57
32.90.2
28.4→28.1
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End12.5
blue by 18.2
5895
#14
51.11.5
50.7→52.3
Auto13.4
Teleop30.1
End7.6
Second
1923
#61
22.30.2
29.4→29.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End4.0
blue by 14.0
3197
#12
36.31.5
27.3→28.8
Auto7.9
Teleop18.5
End9.8
Third
8861
#63
10.90.2
4.8→4.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End4.5
blue by 0.5
1293
#33
11.41.7
6.1→7.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned71%Hangar oddsEarned