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Red91
74831.5
589551.1
337440.4
Blue127
885312.5
426536.8
632846.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988520406012014016091127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#14
51.10.0
52.352.3
Auto13.4
Teleop30.1
End7.6
red by 4.6
6328
#22
46.53.0
38.341.3
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.9
Second
3374
#18
40.40.0
37.637.6
Auto10.6
Teleop18.2
End11.6
red by 3.6
4265
#64
36.83.0
36.439.4
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End2.0
Third
7483
#76
1.50.0
0.90.9
Auto4.1
Teleop-1.1
End-1.5
blue by 11.0
8853
#60
12.53.0
7.210.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed