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Red146
253126.1
23045.7
594054.3
Blue111
170139.2
307536.2
353944.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127126100110120130140150146111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.31.8
51.453.2
Auto13.7
Teleop32.6
End7.9
red by 10.0
3539
#31
44.30.8
45.644.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.6
End9.7
Second
230
#4
45.71.8
45.747.6
Auto12.8
Teleop19.2
End13.7
red by 6.5
1701
#43
39.20.8
36.635.7
Auto9.9
Teleop21.8
End7.5
Third
26.11.8
21.223.0
Auto7.8
Teleop6.8
End11.4
blue by 10.2
3075
#45
36.20.8
37.236.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsMissed